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Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened down 66.80 points, or 0.80%, at 8263.50 points on Friday, December 13th.Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.Industry: The worry about the imbalance between supply and demand still exists, and there is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)

Economic Daily: Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment, the article said, "Experts believe that unconventional countercyclical adjustment pays attention to forward-looking and is ahead of expectations, which is conducive to stabilizing expectations and stabilizing total demand, thus consolidating the foundation for economic recovery. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment, fiscal policy will further exert its strength, which may be reflected in: actively using the deficit space that can be improved, increasing the scale of special bonds, and continuing to issue ultra-long-term special government bonds. On the one hand, the scale may exceed expectations, on the other hand, the pace will be faster, and the economy will be stabilized and rebounded. The formulation of monetary policy is changed from "steady" to "moderately loose", which is intended to convey a positive and promising policy tendency more clearly and better stabilize the expectations of business entities.Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① At 07: 50, the outlook index of large-scale manufacturing industry in Japan in the fourth quarter is short-sighted; ② At 10: 35, Hunter, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, made a speech; ③ 15:00 UK merchandise trade account for October; ④ At 16: 00, Villeroy, Governor of the European Central Bank and Governor of the Bank of France, made a speech; ⑤ 17:00 Speech by Robert Holzmann, ECB Management Committee; 6. At 18: 00, the Bundesbank announced the semi-annual forecast report, and the industrial output of the euro zone in October; ⑦ 19:00 Speech by Mario Centeno, ECB Governing Committee and Governor of Portuguese Central Bank; 8: 21: 30 US import price index in November.The Federal Reserve's loan balance in the discount window in the week of December 11th was $2.61 billion, compared with $2.43 billion in the previous week. The balance of bank term financing loans in the week of December 11th was 15.6 billion US dollars, compared with 17.1 billion US dollars in the previous week.

The "construction drawing" of capital market reform in 2025 is clear, "expanding patient capital", "attracting social capital to participate in venture capital more vigorously", "deepening comprehensive reform of capital market investment and financing" and "expanding high-level opening up" ... The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11 to 12, and the economic work in 2025 was deployed. Many formulations and requirements are closely related to the capital market reform, development and stability in 2025. Experts said that in 2025, the capital market reform will continue to be comprehensively promoted, and it will become the focus to expand patient capital, deepen comprehensive reform of investment and financing, and expand high-level opening up. The "construction drawing" of the capital market reform has become clearer, and it is necessary to do a good job in the future to achieve results and further consolidate the "stable" foundation of the market. (CSI)The Federal Reserve's loan balance in the discount window in the week of December 11th was $2.61 billion, compared with $2.43 billion in the previous week. The balance of bank term financing loans in the week of December 11th was 15.6 billion US dollars, compared with 17.1 billion US dollars in the previous week.Adobe(ADBE) closed down 13.69% after the release of the performance report, the worst one-day performance in two years, and the revenue guidance given by the company disappointed investors.